Upcoming Forecast Challenging To Predict

Meteorological Spring began on Thursday and the weather this weekend looks to respond quite nicely. Expected highs on Saturday are in the 40s and 50s! 

Then the atmosphere begins to turn back to winter late Sunday. Low pressure will track out of Colorado and push northeast toward KELOLAND. The spring-like weather ahead of the low and the winter-like air behind the low means we have an interesting and challenging forecast to put together this weekend. 

First off, the temperatures profiles over the Midwest means snowfall amounts will differ wildly across the Midwest. The models have been consistent with placing over a foot of snow in North Dakota because they'll be in the cold sector of the low majority of the storm. But KELOLAND will have a different story.

The front side of the low will push warm air into the Midwest so mid-level temperatures are projected to be in the 40s in central and eastern KELOLAND. To put that in perspective, to be sure that all precip will fall as snow, we look for mid-level temps in the mid-20s so we'll need temps to drop near 20 degrees before we think full on snow!

In addition to the challenging temperature forecast, another part of the forecast is trying to predict how much moisture will fall. And model simulation moisture amounts keep bouncing back and forth between a half inch of moisture and an inch and a half based on which path the low takes and how much moisture from the Gulf Coast tacks along with the low. 

So stay tuned into the forecast this weekend as we try to hash out those details, and more, and bring you the latest. 

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