With 12 days until Election Day, numbers from our KELOLAND Media Group/Argus Leader 2018 Election Poll show the U.S. House race favors Republican Dusty Johnson.
When asked who they would vote for if the election was held today, 54 percent said Johnson would get their vote.
Democrat Tim Bjorkman would receive 31 percent of the vote and 12 percent of voters said they were undecided.
Independent Ron Wieczorek and Libertarian George Hendrickson received two and one percent of the vote, respectively.
Last week between Oct. 18 through Oct. 22, Mason-Dixon researchers asked 500 registered voters questions about local races and issues on November’s ballot.
Voters also answered name recognition and whether they had a favorable, unfavorable or neutral opinion of Bjorkman and Johnson.
For Johnson, 44 percent of likely voters have a favorable opinion, while 15 percent have an unfavorable opinion, 35 percent are neutral and six percent don’t recognize. Bjorkman has a favorable rating by 28 percent of voters, while 10 percent have an unfavorable opinion, 39 percent are neutral and 23 percent don’t recognize.
We also broke the results down by region and demographics.
Johnson gets his most support from West River voters at 63 percent, while East River/North is 57 percent, East River/South is 53 percent and Sioux Falls Metro is 43 percent.
For Bjorkman, the Sioux Falls Metro is the strongest support at 41 percent. East River/South and East River/North each support him at 30 percent and West River is 24 percent.
When broken down by gender, men support Johnson at 57 percent, Bjorkman at 27 percent, 11 percent are undecided and five are supporting Wieczorek or Hendrickson. For woman voters, Johnson has 51 percent, Bjorkman is at 35 percent and 13 percent are undecided.
Stay with KELOLAND News for more coverage on this poll. We’ll also be releasing additional numbers on President Trump’s approval rating as well as two ballot measures and one constitutional amendment on Friday.
Election Day is November 6.
*This poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Jacksonville, Florida from Oct. 18 through Oct. 22, 2018. A total of 500 registered voters in South Dakota were interviewed statewide by telephone. All stated they were likely to vote in the November general election.
Those interviewed were selected randomly from a telephone-matched voter registration list that included both landline and cell phone numbers. Quotas were assigned to reflect voter turnout by county.
The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than 4.5 percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the “true” figure would fall within that range if all voters were surveyed. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as a gender or age grouping.