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Weather Analysis 12-6-12

December 6, 2012, 4:09 PM by Scot Mundt

THIS IS A COPY OF AN EMAIL I SEND OUT TO JAY, BRIAN, AND BEN.  JUST SOME THOUGHTS ON WHAT THE FORECAST MODELS ARE DOING.  IT MAY OR MAY NOT REFLECT THE FINAL FORECAST.  BE SURE TO VISIT OUR WEATHER PAGE FOR UPDATES. –SCOT MUNDT

 

Precip amounts are a little less today, but GFS is still spitting out a quarter to a third in central and east central SD.  EURO is a lot less, but based on precip forecasts in past events (have to go back to October) have opted to follow GFS.  List of QPF amounts are below, highest in Pierre with .31”

I don’t expect much of this in eastern KELOLAND until AFTER the morning drive.  Of course, central South Dakota will get it DURING the morning commute.

Once this passes, another system will bring light snow Saturday night in north central and northeast KELOLAND.  This will dive southeast Saturday night into Sunday morning.  I’m still not overly sold on this one, but I wouldn’t be surprised for a quick inch or two in some areas in eastern KELOLAND (mainly east of I-29).  Winds will also be stronger on Sunday, something worth noting with any snow.

Cold for Monday, kept the teens and 20s for highs in the east, slightly warmer central and west.  20s and 30s may be here to stay for quite some time with steady shots of cold air from the north.  In this, we’ll have to watch for light snow with any wave or new shot of cold air, but anything that falls will stay light. 

I don’t foresee any big storms on the way, but be aware of the possible 45-47 day cycle.  I have Dec 19 (from November 4) and December 25 (from November 10/11 trof) marked on the calendar.

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