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Weather Analysis 11-8-12

November 8, 2012, 3:44 PM by Scot Mundt

THIS IS A COPY OF AN EMAIL I SEND OUT TO JAY, BRIAN, AND BEN.  JUST SOME THOUGHTS ON WHAT THE FORECAST MODELS ARE DOING.  IT MAY OR MAY NOT REFLECT THE FINAL FORECAST.  BE SURE TO VISIT OUR WEATHER PAGE FOR UPDATES. –SCOT MUNDT

 

Steady as she goes.  Things are still inline for the weekend.  I’m watching the frontogenesis on the GFS with this one.  I’ll post the time line below…

QPF still looks low.  I would say around an inch for FSD, two to three inches can be found in south central (Chamberlain, Winner areas) to northeast SD (east of ABR and north of ATY).  Light snow will linger east of the James River on Sunday morning, but clouds will decrease during the afternoon with strong north winds.  Cold on Sunday with highs in the 20s to near 30°.

Frontogenesis begins in western SD Friday night.

 

Moves east during the morning…

 

Saturday evening (0z)…

 

Eastern and SE KELOLAND Saturday night (0z)…

 

Lingering into Sunday morning (12z)…

 

After this rolls through, temps are cold with a slow warming trend during the week.  EURO and GFS are trying to bring an upper level low through next Friday or for the weekend.  We are currently on the northern periphery of it.

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