User uShare Login | Register
Login
Register

Along with posting photos, videos, and stories, your uShare account lets you post Classified Ads, recipes on What's For Dinner, and Announcements.


66° View Weather Current Conditions Sioux Falls Change Location
Set Weather Options

RADAR LOCATION

TEMPERATURE LOCATION

KELOLAND.com | Sioux Falls News & Weather, South Dakota News & Weather, Minnesota and Iowa News

[0] My Saved Articles
Find local businesses
on the KELO Pages!

 

Weather Analysis 11-7-12

November 7, 2012, 3:41 PM by Scot Mundt

THIS IS A COPY OF AN EMAIL I SEND OUT TO JAY, BRIAN, AND BEN.  JUST SOME THOUGHTS ON WHAT THE FORECAST MODELS ARE DOING.  IT MAY OR MAY NOT REFLECT THE FINAL FORECAST.  BE SURE TO VISIT OUR WEATHER PAGE FOR UPDATES. –SCOT MUNDT

 

Back door front moves through for tomorrow, giving many northeast winds and cooler temps.  Dry skies will remain through Friday, and then the fun starts.

GFS and GEM still barrel things through for Saturday night and Sunday morning with a light wintry mix, but the CAN and now the NAM are giving south central and southeast SD a good chance for snow.  In the meantime, there seems to be good frontogenesis on the GFS in western SD starting by 18z Sat and it really ramps up in south central SD 0z Sat.  See both images below…

 

QPF numbers are still rather anemic on the GFS and EURO.  The highest on the EURO is for Chamberlain and Winner with amounts near a third, GFS for those areas is only at a couple hundredths. 

The CAN and NAM paint a different picture.  Both are trying to bring post frontal snow Saturday night/Sunday morning in south central and eventually southeast SD.  See images from Penn-State E-wall below.  I have added a 20 pop for snow in FSD Sunday morning.  Oh, and much colder Sunday!  This will be a good test for the models.  EURO/GFS vs CAN/NAM, granted the NAM is coming from the “off” hour (18z).

CAN…

 

NAM…

Previous Story

Next Story




Sponsored

 


View weather

You may also like

Jet Stream Could Bring Cool Temps, Rain

8/3/2015 6:26 PM

A new month is bringing some changes to our weather pattern that should prove interesting in the next couple of weeks.

Full Story | Watch
Storm Center Update - Saturday PM

8/1/2015 3:35 PM

It was a warm day for some areas of KELOLAND with afternoon temperatures reaching the upper 90s in north-central South Dakota.

Full Story
Cool August May Bring Warmer September

7/30/2015 6:41 PM

Many in KELOLAND see their average high temperatures fall about five degrees.

Full Story | Watch
Threat Of Severe Weather Continues This Summer

7/31/2015 9:43 PM

With severe weather looming in the forecast this weekend, we look back at the severe weather season so far in KELOLAND.

Full Story | Watch


Events