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Winter weather returns early this week.  Storm Center Update

 

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Weather Analysis 11/1/12

November 1, 2012, 4:01 PM by Scot Mundt

THIS IS A COPY OF AN EMAIL I SEND OUT TO JAY, BRIAN, AND BEN.  JUST SOME THOUGHTS ON WHAT THE FORECAST MODELS ARE DOING.  IT MAY OR MAY NOT REFLECT THE FINAL FORECAST.  BE SURE TO VISIT OUR WEATHER PAGE FOR UPDATES. –SCOT MUNDT

 

The weekend chances for light precip are driving me nuts.  Had it in, threw it out, have it in again.  Anything that falls will stay very light as QPF numbers are near a tenth in eastern SD western MN.  Temps will remain cool in eastern KELOLAND with highs in the 40s, 50s will be in the west.

Next week is looking dry with temperatures at or just above average.  Expect plenty of 40s and 50s Monday through Wednesday.  With the approaching low pressure system for NEXT weekend, southerly winds will increase on Thursday.  I have temps in the 50s and 60s that day.

Keep an eye on the models for NEXT weekend (Nov 10-11).  Still good agreement with all three models for developing a trough in the west.  Keep in mind, this is for NEXT weekend.  GFS has the main low in eastern NE on Sunday 0z, while EURO has main low in NW IA on Saturday 12z.  Canadian is a little more interesting as it moves the main low farther south near the four corners region.  EURO than drags in much colder air behind this while the GFS flattens out into a zonal pattern.

 

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