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SnowBlog: October 10, 2012

October 10, 2012, 4:43 PM by Sarah Bryant

October 10, 2012

Brian Karstens sent me an email about the upcoming rain for the weekend.  He mentioned this system will be worth watching as the October weather pattern tends to repeat itself through the winter.  He also brought up the record lows, or near record lows which were inline with October of 2000 and how there was a snow storm that following November.

My winter prediction is based on weather patterns and historic trends but I don’t recall 2000 sticking out, mainly because that was a la Nina year.  But the storm this coming weekend will be watched to see if a system like that repeats in November.

I did look closely at 2006 and 1976 because the El Nino criteria is lining up close to what it was those two years.  1976 stands out more than 2006 because it was a dry summer, much like this past summer.  So 1976 will be watched closely.  Here’s how the autumn shaped up that year.  Listed are the highest temp, lowest temp, average temp for the month and precip.

              High   Low Avg Temp Precip
Sept        104°   24°      63°    .76”
Oct           86°   13°      44°    .71”
Nov          67°   -9°       28°    .07”

Not only is 1976 the third driest summer (behind 2012 and 1894), but it’s also the sixth driest autumn and eighth coldest autumn!  1976 had record lows on October 16 & 17.

Here’s this past September and what we’ve done so far this October.

               High   Low   Avg Temp Precip
Sept          96°   27°        63°       1.14”
Oct            80°   22°        48°      Trace

October has been trending cooler than average, we’ll see if this continues.

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