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Weather Analysis 2-21-13

February 21, 2013, 4:51 PM by Scot Mundt

THIS IS A COPY OF AN EMAIL I SEND OUT TO JAY, BRIAN, AND BEN.  JUST SOME THOUGHTS ON WHAT THE FORECAST MODELS ARE DOING.  IT MAY OR MAY NOT REFLECT THE FINAL FORECAST.  BE SURE TO VISIT OUR WEATHER PAGE FOR UPDATES. –SCOT MUNDT


Snow is on the way!  Radar shows snow coming from the south, but it continues to battle the dry air.  No worries, Sioux City went from an air temp of 26 and dew point of 8 to an air temp of 23 and dew point of 16 in an hour with snow.  Last hour, visibility was reported at a half mile with now.  QPF numbers have lowered a little, but many locations in SE KELOLAND are around a quarter inch.  With better dynamics in southern areas, higher totals still are warranted. 

On to the next system…glad we didn’t get too nuts with it as the QPF numbers as they are very low.  We’ll see how the models behave after this system rolls through tonight and tomorrow.  BUT, I did leave the chance for snow for late in the day Sunday and Monday.

Temps will remain well below average for the rest of the month.


*** I took a sneak peak at the extended for the beginning of March.  Not good news, both the GFS and EURO are trying to push a big ridge into the plains (including KELOLAND).  I’d like to see how this jives with the pattern from last March.  We don’t need to go through what we did last March (record heat).***

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