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Storm Center Update- Monday AM

May 5, 2014, 6:07 AM by Brian Karstens


We have a quiet start to the week in KELOLAND, but an active forecast is just around the corner.  For today, look for partly cloudy skies with highs mainly between 65 and 70 in most areas.  Winds will be from the east at 5-15 mph. 

Scattered showers and t-storms are expected late this afternoon and this evening in western KELOLAND.  These areas of rain are expected to track northeast overnight.  Sioux Falls will likely miss most of the rain chances.

Tomorrow’s forecast will feature more chances of scattered showers and t-storms in northern and western KELOLAND.  Scattered rain may affect the southeast by Tuesday evening.  High temperatures will mainly be in the 60s.

The forecast for Wednesday and Thursday will be more complicated as the main storm system pulls in out of the Rockies.  The track of the low and the speed of the system will be critical to determining the temperature variations and the placement of rain chances.

It appears that most of western, central, and northern KELOLAND will see good chances of showers and t-storms both Wednesday and Thursday.  The western half of KELOLAND will see north winds and a widespread 1-2+” rainfall with much colder temperatures.  The Black Hills will see snow…but just how much is up in the air.  We wouldn’t rule out some heavy amounts again in the highest elevations.

The southeast will be prone to thunderstorms and severe weather.  The new day 3 outlook from SPC has much of eastern KELOLAND in a risk of severe weather.  That chance may continue into Thursday.  The exact placement of the warm front will play a significant role in how warm it gets and how many storms we see.  Stay tuned for more details.

More showers and t-storms will return to the forecast later in the week as another storm system develops to our west.

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