We’re starting Independence Day out on the mild side with fair skies and a breeze. A weakened cold front arriving from the northwest will serve as the big weather-maker today. The breeze will become noticeable later today and the warmest high temperatures will pop up near the frontal boundary in central and northern South Dakota. Most will have plentiful sunshine but storms are not out of the question. We’re catching the southern fringe of the weak trough and showers look to form early in the afternoon in the NW. Some of these should form over the Black Hills by early-to-mid afternoon. There will probably be a quick lull during the early evening as the front pushes southeast. Some storms could get going again late in the evening. By this point, they’ll be East River. Most fireworks celebrations will be spared but you’ll certainly want to pack and dress accordingly for highs above 90°. The best chance for rain in Sioux Falls and just east of Aberdeen looks to be after midnight.
Tomorrow’s forecast is shaping up to be… almost identical. Temperatures remain unchanged in this “Dog Days” pattern. We’ll still have a decent south breeze and the chance of storms for western SD.
Our forecast becomes more active into the weekend. The chance of rain up and severe storms are possible for southern KELOLAND. We stay unsettled through Tuesday with about a one in four shot. Next Wednesday also shows some signs of moisture but, for now, we’ve kept the forecast dry.